Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 1

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Alcalá		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.25	2.88
	2.20	3.00	2.95
	2.17	2.90	3.20
	2.35	3.05	3.12
	2.31	3.18	2.94	Watch
	2.30	2.95	3.05
	2.29	3.38	2.98
	2.24	3.10	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.11)	3.1 ↓ (3.23)	3 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
40.3%

Draw
29.4%

Talavera de la Reina
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.7%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Alcalá - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Simon L. ⚽,
62', 2 - 0, Manzano K. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Lorenzo L. ⚽,

Preview

Alcalá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alcalá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcalá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Including home match between the teams, Alcalá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CF Talavera	5	2	2	1	7:5	2	8
10	RSD Alcala	5	2	0	3	10:10	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

Talavera de la Reina - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 29.87%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Alcalá - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Alcalá - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Alcalá - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.05.26	Alcalá - Coria	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Quintanar del Rey - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWLT
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Talavera de la Reina - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Illescas - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
06.08.26	Villacañas - Talavera de la Reina	0:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.05.26	Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Talavera de la Reina - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.19	Alcalá - Talavera de la Reina	1:5

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