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Current Win Probability
Ghana 21.2%
Draw 25.7%
Uruguay 53.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.9%
26.7%
53.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ghana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
34.1%
14.6%
51.4%
Ghana - Uruguay Predictions
Users Predictions:
185 users predict this event. Ghana will win (votes: 63 - 34.1%). Uruguay will win (votes: 95 - 51.4%). It will Tie (votes: 27 - 14.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Uruguay: 44.2% – 58.6%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Ghana has a very small chance of 1st place (1%), has a chance of 2nd place (41%), has a chance of round of 16 (42%), has a very small chance of quarter-finals (4%), has a very small chance of semi-finals (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win world cup (<1%).
Uruguay has not chance of 1st place, has a chance of 2nd place (49%), has a chance of round of 16 (49%), has a small chance of quarter-finals (12%), has a small chance of semi-finals (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win world cup (1%).