The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ghazl El Mahalla 23.6%
Draw 35.7%
Tala`ea El-Gaish 40.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
38.2%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
39.3%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ghazl El Mahalla's form might have worsened.
Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tala`ea El-Gaish's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ghazl El Mahalla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tala`ea El-Gaish, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
53.8%
23.1%
Ghazl El Mahalla - Tala`ea El Gaish Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). El-Gaish will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% โ 80.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Amer M. (G) 24. Amoory A. 3. El Aash A. 4. Shousha A. 12. Zakaria Y. 77. Williams S. 39. Abdelsalam M. 20. Toure M. 37. El Moghzi M. 90. Mwanga J. 9. Arfaoui R.
16. Shaaban M. (G) 24. Awad K. 27. Alaa A. 4. Camacho M. 5. Souissi H. 12. Mohareb I. 14. Hamdi A. 8. Zola A. 11. Tarek K. 30. Atef M. 28. Ouro-Agoro I.
Substitutes
25. Ashraf M. 15. Body A. 17. Bolbol M. 18. El Arabi A. (G) 81. El Hakim A. H. A. 27. Gamal A. 28. Ineza A. 11. Magdy A. 10. Walid B.
20. Abdelaziz M. 17. Al Madadha G. 22. El Khawaga M. 18. El Sayed E. (G) 10. Hany M. 9. Hatem F. 23. Keita A. 3. Tarek A. 25. Tarek A.
Coaches
Abdelaal A.
Mashhour G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Mwanga J. 🟨,
45+2', Abdelsalam M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hamdi A. ↓, Al Madadha G. ↑,
56', Arfaoui R. ↓, Walid B. ↑,
56', Williams S. ↓, Ineza A. ↑,
64', Ouro-Agoro I. ↓, Hatem F. ↑,
64', Mohareb I. ↓, El Khawaga M. ↑,
64', El Moghzi M. ↓, Bolbol M. ↑,
74', Atef M. ↓, Tarek A. ↑,
85', Abdelsalam M. ↓, Magdy A. ↑,
86', Mwanga J. ↓, Ashraf M. ↑,
90+2', El Khawaga M. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
90+5', Tarek K. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 18 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 1.
Ghazl El Mahalla has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
El-Gaish is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ghazl El Mahalla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ghazl El Mahalla has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ghazl El Mahalla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
El Gaish
5
2
1
2
5:5
0
7
20
Ghazl El Mahallah
5
0
1
4
1:9
-8
1
Last Results with these Odds
Tala`ea El-Gaish - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.24%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.