Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Petrosport Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1


	Wadi Degla		Ghazl El Mahalla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.9
	2.32	2.72	3.45	Watch
	2.49	2.7	3.37	Watch
	2.4	2.63	3.4
	2.34	2.77	3.55
	2.36	2.62	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.91)	2.71 ↓ (2.82)	3.53 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wadi Degla
39.9%

Draw
34%

Ghazl El Mahalla
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

33%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

33%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wadi Degla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wadi Degla's form might have worsened.

Ghazl El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ghazl El Mahalla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wadi Degla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ghazl El Mahalla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	71.4%	0%

Wadi Degla - Ghazl El Mahalla Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ghazl El Mahalla (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Wadi Degla (1.27) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.25 - Wadi Degla (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ghazl El Mahalla (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hossam A. (G) 2. Maher S. 5. Dahroug A. 28. Teka S. 12. Dahesh A. 19. Mohamed H. 11. Abdelrahim M. 14. Abdelaati M. (C) 4. Adel I. 27. Refaat A. 7. Hussein A.	16. Amer M. (G) 24. Amoory A. (C) 3. El Aash A. 4. Shousha A. 12. Zakaria Y. 41. Saidi K. 39. Abdelsalam M. 20. Toure M. 90. Mwanga J. 21. Grendo M. 9. Arfaoui R.
Substitutes
3. Adly O. 23. Ayman A. 9. Boli F. 10. Diasty M. 44. El Shimi A. 34. Kaandorp M. 8. Scholes A. 18. Shaaban A. (G) 22. Zizo	19. Armoosha 15. Body A. 37. El Moghzi M. 1. El Nafarawy A. (G) 8. Fawzy Y. 27. Gamal A. 28. Ineza A. 11. Magdy A. 44. Yasser A.
Coaches
El Sheikh M.	Abdelaal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Mwanga J. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Teka S. ⚽, Abdelrahim M. (A),
20', 2 - 1, Hussein A. ⚽, Dahesh A. (A),
21', Toure M. 🟨,
26', 3 - 1, Abdelrahim M. ⚽,
41', Abdelrahim M. 🟨,
45+6', Shousha A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+6', 3 - 2, Amoory A. ⚽, Saidi K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Grendo M. ↓, Yasser A. ↑,
46', Toure M. ↓, Magdy A. ↑,
46', Dahesh A. ↓, Adly O. ↑,
46', Abdelaati M. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
61', Saidi K. ↓, Fawzy Y. ↑,
65', Refaat A. ↓, Diasty M. ↑,
81', Abdelrahim M. ↓, El Shimi A. ↑,
81', Zakaria Y. ↓, Body A. ↑,
81', Abdelsalam M. ↓, Ineza A. ↑,
84', Maher S. 🟨,
89', Yasser A. 🟨,
90+1', Hussein A. ↓, Boli F. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 0.

Wadi Degla is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ghazl El Mahalla has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Wadi Degla is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wadi Degla won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wadi Degla	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5
20	Ghazl El Mahallah	5	0	1	4	1:9	-8	1

Last Results with these Odds

Wadi Degla - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.67%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wadi Degla
Egyptian League Cup
17.01.26	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Wadi Degla - Pyramids	4:0 ✺
05.01.26	National Bank of Egypt - Wadi Degla	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Wadi Degla - El Gouna	0:1 ✺
23.12.25	Modern Sport - Wadi Degla	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWTLW
- Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian League Cup
16.01.26	ENPPI - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:0 ✺
12.01.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:0 ✺
05.01.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:0 ✺
23.12.25	Ghazl El Mahalla - Al Ahly Cairo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 A
17.02.24	Wadi Degla - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:0
20.12.23	Ghazl El Mahalla - Wadi Degla	0:0
Egyptian Premier League
10.08.21	Ghazl El Mahalla - Wadi Degla	2:2
07.02.21	Wadi Degla - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:1
01.03.16	Wadi Degla - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1
31.10.15	Ghazl El Mahalla - Wadi Degla	0:2
16.05.13	Wadi Degla - Ghazl El Mahalla	3:2

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