Match Info

Division 2 A - Round 17

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Haras El-Hodod Stadium (Alexandria)


	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar		Abu Qir Fertilizers

	1	X	2
	3.95	2.62	2.12
	4.06	2.62	2.15
	3.9	2.63	2.15
	3.94	2.8	2.18
	4	2.66	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (4.7)	2.67 ↓ (2.86)	2.15 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
23.1%

Draw
34.3%

Abu Qir Fertilizers
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

31.8%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

31.4%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Abu Qir Fertilizers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Abu Qir Fertilizers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abu Qir Fertilizers than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Abu Qir Fertilizers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Abu Qir Fertilizers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Abu Qir Fertilizers will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Abu Qir Fertilizers: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Abu Qir Fertilizers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4).

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Abu Qir Fertilizers has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Abu Qir Fertilizers is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
Egyptian Division 2 A
20.12.25	Tanta - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Asyut Petroleum	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	El Mansoura - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	1:1 ✺
20.11.25	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Baladeyet El Mahalla	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Tersana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTWL
- Abu Qir Fertilizers SC
Egyptian Cup
23.12.25	Ceramica Cleopatra - Abu Qir Fertilizers	2:0 ET ✺
Egyptian Division 2 A
17.12.25	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Tersana	0:0 ✺
11.12.25	La Viena - Abu Qir Fertilizers	3:1 ✺
28.11.25	Abu Qir Fertilizers - WE SC	0:1 ✺
20.11.25	Dayrout - Abu Qir Fertilizers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 A
09.02.25	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	1:0
13.10.24	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Abu Qir Fertilizers	0:0
29.01.24	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	0:0

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