Match Info

Date: 30 January 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.65
	4.35	3.5	1.68
	4.4	3.65	1.64
	4.73	3.92	1.68
	4.33	3.5	1.67
	4.33	3.82	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (4.45)	3.63 ↓ (3.84)	1.67 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano
20.3%

Draw
25.1%

Fiorenzuola
54.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.7%

23.9%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

19.2%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorenzuola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie D to Group A).

Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fiorenzuola is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fiorenzuola is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GSD Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano
Italian Serie D - Group D
24.01.21	Sammaurese - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Aglianese	0:1 ✺
10.01.21	Corticella - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	2:1 ✺
06.01.21	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Forlì	0:2 ✺
23.12.20	Seravezza Pozzi - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLL
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie D - Group D
24.01.21	Fiorenzuola - Real Forte Querceta	2:1 ✺
20.01.21	Fiorenzuola - Forlì	0:1 ✺
17.01.21	Progresso - Fiorenzuola	1:4 ✺
10.01.21	Fiorenzuola - Correggese	4:1
06.01.21	Rimini - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Fiorenzuola

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Preview

Form

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