Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano		Aglianese

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Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano
18.1%

Draw
27.8%

Aglianese
54.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.2%

25.7%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

20.1%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Aglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aglianese than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aglianese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aglianese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Aglianese is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GSD Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.11.21	Mezzolara - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	4:1 ✺
14.11.21	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Correggese	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Borgo San Donnino - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Real Forte Querceta	0:2 ✺
24.10.21	Sammaurese - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLL
- Aglianese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.11.21	Aglianese - Alcione	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Rimini - Aglianese	5:1 ✺
07.11.21	Cavenago Fanfulla - Aglianese	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Aglianese - Ravenna	0:2 ✺
24.10.21	Mezzolara - Aglianese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTLW

Italian Serie D - Group D
16.05.21	Aglianese - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:2
17.01.21	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Aglianese	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group E
17.03.19	Aglianese - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	2:1
14.11.18	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Aglianese	1:4

Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Aglianese