Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 37

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Giana Erminio		Corticella

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	4.33
	1.5	3.8	5.25
	1.8	3.45	3.85
	1.78	3.72	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.54)	3.67 ↓ (3.85)	4.34 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
54.3%

Draw
24.8%

Corticella
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.2%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

21.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Corticella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giana Erminio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corticella than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Giana Erminio - Corticella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

Giana Erminio in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Corticella is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Giana Erminio is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Giana Erminio to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Giana Erminio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie D - Group D
23.04.23	Real Forte Querceta - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Giana Erminio - Cavenago Fanfulla	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Crema - Giana Erminio	1:3 ✺
02.04.23	Giana Erminio - Scandicci	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
23.03.23	Giana Erminio - Adriese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWW
- US Corticella
Italian Serie D - Group D
23.04.23	Corticella - Salsomaggiore	5:0 ✺
16.04.23	SantAngelo - Corticella	1:1 ✺
06.04.23	Corticella - Pistoiese	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Bagnolese - Corticella	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Corticella - Prato	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
18.12.22	Corticella - Giana Erminio	0:1

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