Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 5 January 2026, MondayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | StarTimes App |
 Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
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Gicumbi |
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Kiyovu Sports |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.05 |
2.88 |
2.28 |
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3.2 |
3.03 |
2.25 |
 Watch |
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3.1 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
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3.25 |
3.14 |
2.2 |
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3.2 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(2.53) |
2.97 ↓
(3.02) |
2.23 ↓
(2.51) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gicumbi
28.7% | Draw
30.5% | Kiyovu Sports
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gicumbi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gicumbi's form might have worsened.Kiyovu Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kiyovu Sports's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gicumbi than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gicumbi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiyovu Sports than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kiyovu Sports, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Gicumbi - Kiyovu Sports Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gicumbi won 1.Recent performances by Gicumbi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Kiyovu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Gicumbi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gicumbi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.7:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Gicumbi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gicumbi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
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| 11 | Kiyovu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 27.02.22 | Kiyovu Sports - Gicumbi | 6:0 | | 23.11.21 | Gicumbi - Kiyovu Sports | 0:1 | | 15.02.20 | Gicumbi - Kiyovu Sports | 1:3 | | 25.10.19 | Kiyovu Sports - Gicumbi | 1:0 | | 21.04.19 | Gicumbi - Kiyovu Sports | 1:0 | | 11.12.18 | Kiyovu Sports - Gicumbi | 1:0 | | 03.11.17 | Gicumbi - Kiyovu Sports | 0:1 |
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