Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 5 December 2025, FridayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | StarTimes App |
 Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
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Kiyovu Sports |
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Etincelles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.12 |
2.62 |
3.8 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.72 |
3.66 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.63 |
3.6 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.65 |
3.72 |
|
 |
2.16 |
2.66 |
3.66 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.29) |
2.66 ↑
(2.49) |
3.69 ↑
(3.68) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kiyovu Sports
41.7% | Draw
33.9% | Etincelles
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiyovu Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Etincelles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiyovu Sports than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-0.1%)Kiyovu Sports - Etincelles Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiyovu won 4.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Kiyovu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Kiyovu will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kiyovu won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 1.5:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Kiyovu won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.2:0.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Kiyovu Sports - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.33%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 06.04.25 | Etincelles - Kiyovu Sports | 0:2 | | 22.11.24 | Kiyovu Sports - Etincelles | 2:1 | | 09.12.23 | Kiyovu Sports - Etincelles | 2:1 | | 12.03.23 | Etincelles - Kiyovu Sports | 1:2 | | 13.10.22 | Kiyovu Sports - Etincelles | 1:1 | | 13.03.22 | Kiyovu Sports - Etincelles | 1:0 | | 01.12.21 | Etincelles - Kiyovu Sports | 0:2 |
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