Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Gil Vicente U19		Rio Ave U19

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.25	1.80
	3.94	3.23	1.82
	3.95	3.41	1.83
	3.90	3.15	1.80
	4.07	3.25	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.03)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	1.81 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gil Vicente U19
22.7%

Draw
27.6%

Rio Ave U19
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.9%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gil Vicente U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gil Vicente U19's form might have worsened.

Rio Ave U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Ave U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente U19 than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gil Vicente U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave U19 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Ave U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gil Vicente U19 - Rio Ave U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th in the Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente U19 won 1.

Gil Vicente U19 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Rio Ave U19 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rio Ave U19 holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Gil Vicente U19 has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:14 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gil Vicente U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gil Vicente U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
17.10.26	Porto U19 - Gil Vicente U19	5:0 ✺
10.10.26	Gil Vicente U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Moreirense U19 - Gil Vicente U19	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Gil Vicente U19 - Vizela U19	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Feirense U19 - Gil Vicente U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTWL
- Rio Ave U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
17.10.26	Rio Ave U19 - Braga U19	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Famalicão U19 - Rio Ave U19	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Porto U19 - Rio Ave U19	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Rio Ave U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Moreirense U19 - Rio Ave U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
04.04.26	Gil Vicente U19 - Rio Ave U19	1:2
24.01.26	Rio Ave U19 - Gil Vicente U19	2:1
05.01.26	Rio Ave U19 - Gil Vicente U19	3:0
27.09.25	Gil Vicente U19 - Rio Ave U19	2:1
22.12.24	Rio Ave U19 - Gil Vicente U19	0:0
12.10.24	Gil Vicente U19 - Rio Ave U19	2:1
20.04.24	Gil Vicente U19 - Rio Ave U19	1:2

Gil Vicente U19 - Rio Ave U19