The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnástic de Tarragona 44.9%
Draw 32.2%
Lleida 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
31.6%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
20.5%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástic de Tarragona that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lleida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gimnástic de Tarragona - Lleida Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Promotion Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Second stage)).
Gimnàstic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Lleida is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lleida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Gimnàstic have a series of guest games.
In this match Gimnàstic is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.