The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lleida 16.8%
Draw 29.9%
Badalona 53.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.4%
28.7%
52.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.1%
28.3%
53.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Lleida - Badalona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 1, Penalver J. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lleida won 2.
Recent form of Lleida has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Badalona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Lleida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Badalona is the clear favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lleida won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Lleida won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
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