The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnástica de Torrelavega 26.5%
Draw 28.8%
Alavés B 44.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.8%
28.2%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
28.2%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnástica de Torrelavega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Alavés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Alavés B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 4)
7', 0 - 1, Alberca I. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Hernandez I. ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, Sazatronil M. ⚽,
33', 1 - 3, Hernandez I. ⚽,
41', 1 - 4, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Gomez A. 🟥,
55', 1 - 5, Alberca I. ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
Torrelavega is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Alavés B is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Torrelavega could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Alavés B holding a narrow advantage.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Alaves B
8
5
2
1
21:11
10
17
18
Torrelavega
8
1
2
5
7:18
-11
5
Last Results with these Odds
Alavés B - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 43.98%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.