Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:30	Footballclub


	Sestao		Gimnástica de Torrelavega

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.40	4.40
	1.60	3.55	4.80
	1.67	3.51	5.14
	1.67	3.51	4.88	Watch
	1.65	3.45	5.05
	1.68	3.44	4.56
	1.68	3.50	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.74)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	4.76 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
54.8%

Draw
26.1%

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.1%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.8%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Sestao - Gimnástica de Torrelavega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 14th in the Relegation).

Sestao has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Torrelavega has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Torrelavega could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Sestao for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Sestao in today's match, at odds of 1.68.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sestao has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sestao	8	6	1	1	9:3	6	19
18	Torrelavega	8	1	2	5	7:18	-11	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.10.26	Gernika - Sestao	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
30.09.26	Sestao - Terrassa	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.09.26	Sestao - Atlético Astorga	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Compostela - Sestao	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
16.09.26	Comillas - Sestao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW
- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.10.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Marino de Luanco	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Real Oviedo B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:3 ✺
20.09.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Bergantiños	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Eibar B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Llanera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.08.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Sestao	1:1

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