Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - Second stage - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia La Plata 2		Belgrano 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.4	3.15	2.05
	3.63	3.25	2.02
	3.63	3.28	1.97
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.52	3.25	1.97
	3.4	3.15	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.16)	3.18 ↑ (3.03)	2.03 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata 2
26.7%

Draw
28.6%

Belgrano 2
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

30.4%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Belgrano 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Belgrano 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Monticelli F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Rami F. 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Merlo J. ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 1, Cortazzo J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.09.24	Banfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:2 ✺
28.08.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:0 ✺
21.08.24	Instituto 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
14.08.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWTW
- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
19.09.24	Belgrano 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Belgrano 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
29.08.24	Barracas Central 2 - Belgrano 2	1:3 ✺
21.08.24	Banfield 2 - Belgrano 2	3:1 ✺
14.08.24	Belgrano 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
17.04.24	Belgrano 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	6:2
15.04.23	Belgrano 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:0

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