Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia La Plata 2		Platense 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.3	3.9
	1.73	3.55	4.2	Watch
	1.76	3.61	4.38
	1.74	3.58	4.26	Watch
	1.69	3.52	4.52
	1.73	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)	3.52 ↑ (3.43)	4.24 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata 2
52.6%

Draw
25.9%

Platense 2
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

24%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Platense 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia La Plata 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense 2 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Platense 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, De Asis J. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Bolzan C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).

Recent form of Gimnasia La Plata 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Platense 2 is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Platense 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gimnasia La Plata 2 is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.05.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:1 ✺
14.05.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
08.05.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
24.04.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTW
- CA Platense 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.05.25	Platense 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
19.05.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Platense 2	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Platense 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:1 ✺
30.04.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Platense 2	1:1 ✺
22.04.25	Platense 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
26.07.23	Platense 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:0
15.06.22	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Platense 2	2:0
20.04.22	Platense 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:0

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