Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sarmiento de Junín 2		Rosario Central 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.39	3.25	2.14
	3.4	3.1	2.13	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.05
	3.52	3.08	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.9)	3.11 ↓ (3.33)	2.08 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín 2
27%

Draw
29.3%

Rosario Central 2
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

27.7%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Rosario Central 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, ⚽,
60', 🟥,
64', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

Recent performances by Sarmiento 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rosario Central 2 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rosario Central 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rosario Central 2 is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Rosario Central 2 - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.73%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.05.26	Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:3 ✺
14.05.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	4:0 ✺
28.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2	2:3 ✺
22.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLLW
- Rosario Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.05.26	Rosario Central 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Aldosivi 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Rosario Central 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Rosario Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
27.08.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:1
01.04.25	Rosario Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:0
04.03.23	Rosario Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:0
08.07.22	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:2

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