Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Unión Santa Fe 2		Gimnasia Mendoza 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.1	3.85	Watch
	1.93	3.23	4
	1.91	3.2	3.97	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4
	1.85	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.77)	3.11 ↓ (3.37)	4 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe 2
48.1%

Draw
29.2%

Gimnasia Mendoza 2
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Mendoza 2 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Unión Santa Fe 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Videla L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 2, Ubeda M. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).

Unión Santa Fe 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Unión Santa Fe 2 is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe 2
Argentinian Reserve League
21.05.26	Barracas Central 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Banfield 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWTTW
- Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Argentinian Reserve League
21.05.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:2 ✺
14.05.26	Godoy Cruz 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	2:3 ✺
05.05.26	Instituto 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTWL

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