Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.1	5.75
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.62	3.35	5.5
	1.59	3.83	5.61
	2.85	3.14	2.46	Watch
	1.68	3.34	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.59)	3.41 ↓ (3.43)	4.94 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
52.6%

Draw
28%

Atlético Sanluqueño
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.3%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.6%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Atlético Sanluqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástic de Tarragona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-3%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fuidias T. (G) 2. Camus S. 21. Pujol E. 5. Morgado C. 20. Santos S. 17. Martinez P. 14. Sanz O. (C) 18. Kaptoum W. 10. Jardi J. 11. Jimenez A. 19. Fuentes J.	1. Kudakovskiy P. (G) 2. Sola Villalba R. 5. Trapero 4. Castellano A. 3. Cabrera J. 17. Rodri 21. Satoca D. 10. Feria J. 16. Tounkara N. 9. Zequi 19. Juarez A.
Substitutes
4. Alba D. 12. Almpanis C. 31. Alves A. 30. Cabezas D. 27. Gutierrez A. 28. Luchetti D. 16. Moi 8. Montalvo M. 9. Omoigui C. 6. Prendes M. 1. Rebollo D. (G)	13. Dominguez R. (G) 8. Gallastegui J. 7. Kikin 11. Lorenzo O. 12. Rodriguez S. 6. Ronald

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Satoca D. ⚽,
19', Kaptoum W. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Sola Villalba R. ⚽,
42', Kaptoum W. 🟨,
45', Juarez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Martinez P. ↓, Omoigui C. ↑,
46', Pujol E. ↓, Montalvo M. ↑,
52', Sanz O. 🟨,
54', Morgado C. 🟥,
56', Fuentes J. ↓, Prendes M. ↑,
62', Castellano A. ↓, Kikin ↑,
62', Juarez A. ↓, Lorenzo O. ↑,
62', Sola Villalba R. ↓, Barea P. ↑,
67', Jimenez A. ↓, Almpanis C. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Omoigui C. ⚽,
72', Almpanis C. 🟨,
72', Satoca D. ↓, Gallastegui J. ↑,
78', Feria J. 🟨,
81', Jardi J. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
81', Feria J. ↓, Ronald ↑,
90+8', 1 - 3, Rodri ⚽,
90+10', Rodri 🟨,

Preview

Gimnàstic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Sanluqueño has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sanluqueño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gimnàstic has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sanluqueño has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gimnàstic is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.09.25	Betis B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	LHospitalet - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Villarreal B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWLW
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.09.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
01.09.25	Atlético Madrid B - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Xerez Deportivo	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.03.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:3
29.08.21	Atlético Sanluqueño - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0

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