The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ciudad de Lucena 45.8%
Draw 28.2%
Atlético Sanluqueño 26%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46%
26.9%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
26%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 11th).
Ciudad de Lucena has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Sanluqueño have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sanluqueño could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ciudad de Lucena holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ciudad de Lucena has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0.
Specifically in home fixtures for Ciudad de Lucena against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Ciudad de Lucena
8
4
3
1
14:8
6
15
11
Sanluqueno
8
2
4
2
14:12
2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Sanluqueño - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 27.14%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.