Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 4

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Gimnástica Segoviana		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.00	2.30
	2.85	2.85	2.37
	2.85	2.85	2.35
	3.10	2.85	2.48
	2.98	2.9	2.45	Watch
	3.05	2.80	2.45
	3.00	3.13	2.40
	2.85	2.90	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.7)	2.91 ↓ (3.18)	2.4 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
30.8%

Draw
31.2%

San Sebastian Reyes
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.1%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28.3%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, Lorenzo D. ⚽,
74', 2 - 0, Tito ⚽,

Preview

G Segoviana is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

SS Reyes shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, SS Reyes has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, G Segoviana has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1:0.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for G Segoviana against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	San Sebastian Reyes	5	3	1	1	7:3	4	10
8	Gimnastica Segoviana	5	2	1	2	11:10	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

San Sebastian Reyes - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 38.79%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.09.26	Alcalá - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:2 ✺
13.09.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Conquense	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Madrid C	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.09.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Numancia	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Atlético Tordesillas - San Sebastian Reyes	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Atlético Baleares	0:3 ✺
19.08.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Majadahonda	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.08.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.02.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0
08.10.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.02.18	Gimnástica Segoviana - San Sebastian Reyes	2:0
01.10.17	San Sebastian Reyes - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:2

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