Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday


	Gimnástica de Torrelavega		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.95	2.6
	2.65	2.95	2.65
	2.98	2.89	2.6
	2.82	3.02	2.48
	2.65	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.32)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	2.6 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
33.7%

Draw
31%

Real Avilés
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

32.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnástica de Torrelavega's form might have worsened.

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Avilés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástica de Torrelavega, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Avilés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Babin J. ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, Poquet N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Garcia S. ⚽,
60', 1 - 3, Poquet N. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).

Gimnástica de Torrelavega is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Avilés is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Avilés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gimnástica de Torrelavega won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnástica de Torrelavega won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.09.24	Guijuelo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Escobedo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Langreo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.09.24	Real Avilés - Laredo	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Real Avilés - Lealtad	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.09.24	Salamanca - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Real Avilés - Llanera	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Bergantiños - Real Avilés	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.01.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Avilés	1:1
16.09.23	Real Avilés - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1
12.02.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Avilés	1:1
24.09.22	Real Avilés - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:0

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