Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Girona B		Atlètic Lleida

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.45	3.7
	1.86	3.55	4.26
	1.77	3.65	4.02	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	1.94	3.77	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.68)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	3.79 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona B
49.7%

Draw
26%

Atlètic Lleida
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.9%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Atlètic Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona B than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Girona B - Atlètic Lleida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Sidibe M. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Garrido C. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Utges J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Gonzalez J. D. ⚽,
64', 3 - 1, Gonzalez J. D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Girona B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlètic Lleida is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlètic Lleida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Girona B is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Girona B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.04.26	Terrassa - Girona B	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Girona B - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Girona B - Alcoyano	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Barcelona B - Girona B	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Girona B - Valencia B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLWT
- Atlètic Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.04.26	Atlètic Lleida - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Reus FC Reddis - Atlètic Lleida	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Atlètic Lleida - Valencia B	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Atlético Baleares - Atlètic Lleida	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Atlètic Lleida - Poblense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.10.25	Atlètic Lleida - Girona B	1:1

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