Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Location: Gjøvik Stadion (Gjøvik)


	Gjøvik-Lyn		Ullensaker Kisa

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.4	1.44
	5	4.5	1.5
	5.83	4.6	1.46
	5.83	4.61	1.45
	5.5	4.4	1.4
	5.8	4.67	1.44	Watch
	5.2	4.5	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.49 ↑ (3.48)	4.53 ↑ (3.58)	1.45 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gjøvik-Lyn
16.7%

Draw
20.2%

Ullensaker Kisa
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

25.9%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

24.9%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gjøvik-Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gjøvik-Lyn's form might have worsened.

Ullensaker Kisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ullensaker Kisa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gjøvik-Lyn than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gjøvik-Lyn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ullensaker Kisa than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ullensaker Kisa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gjøvik Lyn - Ullensaker Kisa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Veloso R. (C) 13. Berge A. 6. Hastadklev A. 10. Helan J. 4. Jansen P. 22. Kaddour M. 15. Karlsson J. 18. Nihorimbere A. 14. Opsahl M. 2. Sydboge J. 9. Tveten L.	1. Twizere C. (G) 3. Arzani D. 14. Berg S. 4. Bjorkkjaer S. 8. Blarud M. (C) 18. Flores M. 5. Gjelsvik S. 17. Ignjic U. 6. Naustdal B. 2. Saebo P. 11. Skille J.
Substitutes
12. Eriksen E. (G) 16. Hagen O. E. 8. Pettersen J. 7. Sandberg O. 25. Skattum-Dahl T. 24. Slatten E. 19. Strandengen E. 23. Wirkestad T.	20. Da Silva F. F. 10. Hammershaug S. 13. Opsahl A. 23. Paulsen M. 31. Rrahmani M. (G) 22. Sorensen K. 21. Walle M. 15. Werni S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Karlsson J. ↓, Skattum-Dahl T. ↑,
35', 0 - 1, Skille J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 1, Helan J. ⚽,
56', Saebo P. ↓, Opsahl A. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Blarud M. ⚽,
67', 1 - 3, Flores M. ⚽,
69', Hastadklev A. ↓, Sandberg O. ↑,
69', Skille J. ↓, Da Silva F. F. ↑,
69', Berg S. ↓, Sorensen K. ↑,
69', Tveten L. ↓, Pettersen J. ↑,
69', Berge A. ↓, Hagen O. E. ↑,
76', Flores M. 🟨,
78', Nihorimbere A. ↓, Wirkestad T. ↑,
83', Arzani D. ↓, Werni S. ↑,
83', Flores M. ↓, Paulsen M. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 4, Sorensen K. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gjøvik-Lyn won 1.

Gjøvik-Lyn is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ull Kisa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ull Kisa is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gjøvik-Lyn won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Gjøvik-Lyn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Gjøvik-Lyn
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
11.05.24	Tromsdalen - Gjøvik-Lyn	4:0 ✺
05.05.24	Gjøvik-Lyn - Vålerenga 2	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Eidsvold Turn - Gjøvik-Lyn	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Gjøvik-Lyn - Strindheim	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Kjelsås - Gjøvik-Lyn	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- Ullensaker Kisa
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
11.05.24	Ullensaker Kisa - Follo	1:2 ✺
04.05.24	Skeid - Ullensaker Kisa	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	Ullensaker Kisa - Grorud	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Ullensaker Kisa - Rosenborg	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
21.04.24	Alta - Ullensaker Kisa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
24.09.23	Ullensaker Kisa - Gjøvik-Lyn	1:1
04.06.23	Gjøvik-Lyn - Ullensaker Kisa	1:3
21.08.22	Ullensaker Kisa - Gjøvik-Lyn	6:2
07.05.22	Gjøvik-Lyn - Ullensaker Kisa	4:0
Norwegian NM Cup
02.05.19	Gjøvik-Lyn - Ullensaker Kisa	2:3
07.05.14	Ullensaker Kisa - Gjøvik-Lyn	2:1

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