Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Gladiator		Afragolese

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.2	4.2
	1.8	3.42	3.78
	1.77	3.1	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.07)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	4.19 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gladiator
50.7%

Draw
27.8%

Afragolese
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.4%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gladiator has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gladiator's performance.

Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Afragolese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gladiator than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gladiator that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out)).

Gladiator is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Afragolese is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gladiator will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gladiator won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gladiator won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Gladiator 1924
Italian Serie D - Group H
11.12.22	Casarano - Gladiator	3:3 ✺
04.12.22	Gladiator - Nocerina	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Gravina - Gladiator	1:3 ✺
20.11.22	Gladiator - Martina Calcio	3:3 ✺
13.11.22	Bitonto - Gladiator	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWTT
- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
11.12.22	Afragolese - Città di Fasano	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Nardo - Afragolese	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Afragolese - Matera	2:2 ✺
20.11.22	Puteolana - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Afragolese - Altamura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
20.02.22	Gladiator - Afragolese	1:1
10.10.21	Afragolese - Gladiator	3:1

Gladiator - Afragolese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide