Match Info

UEFA Europa Cup Women - Qualification - Final

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Petershill Park (Glasgow)


	Glasgow City		HB Køge

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	3.55	3.25	1.98	Watch
	3.63	3.3	1.95
	6.74	5.02	1.36	Watch
	3.41	3.48	2	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (2.73)	3.73 ↑ (3.53)	1.9 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glasgow City
23.9%

Draw
25.7%

HB Køge
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

25.8%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

25%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glasgow City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Glasgow City's form might have worsened.

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HB Køge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow City than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Glasgow City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HB Køge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Glasgow City - HB Køge Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Køge (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Køge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Alexander L. (G) 24. Brownlie E. 5. Golob L. 18. Smit K. 3. Muir A. (C) 20. Motlhalo L. 4. Lauder H. 17. Evans L. 11. Whelan E. 19. Kozlova N. 9. Harrison A.	16. Aleksic E. (G) 3. Schultz M. 18. Brandt A. 2. Uhre M. 19. Markvardsen S. 26. Marta L. 33. Jereko M. 23. Gejl M. (C) 11. Korhonen C. 17. Madsen R. 9. Nadim N.
Substitutes
14. Anderson A. 28. Boyes L. 25. Clachers E. (G) 7. Forrest L. 8. Lockwood K. J. 21. Maatta S. 6. McLaughlin E. 22. Tanaka M. 2. Warrington C. 10. Wrobel N.	29. Briggs S. 25. Callesen A. 10. Garcia O. 27. Holt Luplau E. 5. Huisman F. 30. Moller E. (G) 22. Oskarsdottir E. 7. Pelkowski E. 4. Ruedt C. 24. Simonsen S. 12. Thygesen S. 1. Vingum A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Gejl M. ⚽, Madsen R. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Harrison A. ⚽, Kozlova N. (A),
25', 2 - 1, Whelan E. ⚽, Muir A. (A),
27', 2 - 2, Nadim N. ⚽, Gejl M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', Marta L. ↓, Pelkowski E. ↑,
64', 3 - 2, Pelkowski E. (Own goal), Evans L. (A),
67', Harrison A. ↓, Forrest L. ↑,
67', Whelan E. ↓, Maatta S. ↑,
74', Korhonen C. ↓, Oskarsdottir E. ↑,
75', Madsen R. ↓, Thygesen S. ↑,
77', Lauder H. ↓, Lockwood K. J. ↑,
83', Nadim N. ↓, Garcia O. ↑,
84', 3 - 3, Thygesen S. ⚽, Brandt A. (A),
90', 4 - 3, Brownlie E. ⚽, Evans L. (A),
90+2', 5 - 3, Forrest L. ⚽, Maatta S. (A),

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Køge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Glasgow City has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Glasgow City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glasgow City LFC
Scottish SWPL 1 Women
12.10.25	Glasgow City - Partick Thistle	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
08.10.25	HB Køge - Glasgow City	2:1 ✺
Scottish SWPL Cup Women
05.10.25	Hamilton Academical - Glasgow City	0:5 ✺
Scottish SWPL 1 Women
01.10.25	Hibernian - Glasgow City	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Glasgow Rangers - Glasgow City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWTW
- HB Køge Women
Danish A-Liga Women
11.10.25	Odense Q - HB Køge	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
08.10.25	HB Køge - Glasgow City	2:1 ✺
Danish A-Liga Women
04.10.25	HB Køge - AGF Aarhus	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Nordsjælland - HB Køge	2:3 ✺
21.09.25	HB Køge - Fortuna Hjørring	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Cup Women
08.10.25	HB Køge - Glasgow City	2:1

Glasgow City - HB Køge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide