Match Info

A-Liga Women - Championship Group - Round 4

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play


	HB Køge		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.2	8.9
	1.25	5.89	8.05
	1.27	5.5	8.3	Watch
	1.22	5	9
	1.22	5.5	9.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.39)	5.42 ↑ (4.28)	8.84 ↑ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HB Køge
73%

Draw
16.7%

AGF Aarhus
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

21.3%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HB Køge's performance.

AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

HB Køge - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Køge (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Køge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vingum A. (G) 28. Boye S. 23. Gejl M. 33. Jereko M. 15. Jorgensen I. 11. Korhonen C. 17. Madsen R. 14. Pelgander E. 3. Schultz M. 12. Thygesen S. 8. Wendicke M.	1. Gade M. (G) 11. Aarhus L. 9. Andersen S. 12. Baattrup S. 5. Guldbaek J. 7. Johansen C. 16. Lerche M. 24. Lynge S. 25. Mathiasen J. 18. Nejmann E. 4. Vendelbo S.
Substitutes
16. Aleksic E. (G) 25. Callesen A. 5. Huisman F. 19. Markvardsen S. 13. Paulson C. 7. Pelkowski E. 2. Uhre M.	22. Dybro M. (G) 19. Jorgensen S. 14. Littrup C. 8. Lundberg S. 27. Madsen P. 23. Norgaard K. 17. Rasmussen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Jorgensen I. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Pelgander E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 5.

Køge is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Køge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Køge is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Køge won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:13. (average 2.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:4. (average 2.2:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Koge W	10	8	1	1	30:11	19	25
10	Aarhus W	10	1	0	9	7:24	-17	3

Last Results with these Odds

AGF Aarhus - the odds 6.85 are the expected chance of winning is 13.29%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Køge Women
Danish Cup Women
02.04.26	Brøndby - HB Køge	1:4 ✺
Danish A-Liga Women
28.03.26	Fortuna Hjørring - HB Køge	1:2 ✺
Danish Cup Women
25.03.26	HB Køge - Brøndby	1:1 ✺
Danish A-Liga Women
21.03.26	Brøndby - HB Køge	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	HB Køge - Nordsjælland	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTTT
- AGF Aarhus Women
Danish A-Liga Women
28.03.26	Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus	3:1 ✺
24.03.26	AGF Aarhus - Fortuna Hjørring	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Kolding - AGF Aarhus	0:0 ✺
Danish Cup Women
06.12.25	HB Køge - AGF Aarhus	2:0 ✺
Danish A-Liga Women
22.11.25	AGF Aarhus - Odense Q	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Cup Women
06.12.25	HB Køge - AGF Aarhus	2:0
Danish A-Liga Women
04.10.25	HB Køge - AGF Aarhus	2:0
13.09.25	AGF Aarhus - HB Køge	0:1
14.06.25	HB Køge - AGF Aarhus	2:1
21.04.25	AGF Aarhus - HB Køge	0:4
02.11.24	AGF Aarhus - HB Køge	1:0
14.09.24	HB Køge - AGF Aarhus	4:1

HB Køge - AGF Aarhus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide