Match Info

Date: 10 March 2022, Thursday


	Glasgow Rangers		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.5
	1.85	3.55	4.6
	1.87	3.35	4.4
	1.91	3.41	4.72
	1.88	3.25	4.5
	1.91	3.46	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.66)	3.38 ↓ (3.79)	4.57 ↓ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glasgow Rangers
50.8%

Draw
28.3%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

25%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

20.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glasgow Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Glasgow Rangers's form might have worsened.

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Rangers than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Glasgow Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.6%	12.6%	22.8%

Glasgow Rangers - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Users Predictions: 127 users predict this event. Rangers will win (votes: 82 - 64.6%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 29 - 22.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 12.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rangers: 56.3% – 72.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Crvena Zvezda was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 59, small importance 23, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Rangers is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crvena Zvezda is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Rangers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rangers is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glasgow Rangers
Scottish Premier League
05.03.22	Glasgow Rangers - Aberdeen	1:0 ✺
02.03.22	St. Johnstone - Glasgow Rangers	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Glasgow Rangers - Motherwell	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.02.22	Glasgow Rangers - Borussia Dortmund	2:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
20.02.22	Dundee United - Glasgow Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTTT
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
06.03.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	5:0 ✺
03.03.22	Voždovac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:3 ✺
27.02.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	Proleter Novi Sad - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
16.02.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnički Niš	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

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