Match Info

Premiership - Championship Group - Round 35

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	CBS Sports Network
World	Onefootball


	Hearts		Glasgow Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.4
	2.78	3.55	2.32	Watch
	2.77	3.65	2.44
	2.75	3.67	2.37	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.4
	2.73	3.52	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.71)	3.54 ↓ (3.63)	2.39 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
34.4%

Draw
26.4%

Glasgow Rangers
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Glasgow Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glasgow Rangers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	15.4%	46.2%

Hearts - Glasgow Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Rangers will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rangers: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Schwolow A. (G) 15. Steinwender M. 4. Halkett C. 19. Findlay S. 89. Kyziridis A. 49. Leonard M. 6. Baningime B. 3. Kingsley S. 10. Braga C. 99. Chesnokov I. 9. Shankland L. (C)	1. Butland J. (G) 2. Tavernier J. (C) 24. Djiga N. 37. Fernandez E. 21. Sterling D. 10. Diomande M. 43. Raskin N. 42. Chukwuani T. 7. Skov Olsen A. 9. Chermiti 47. Moore M.
Substitutes
23. Altena J. 17. Forrest A. 30. Fulton R. (G) 11. Kabore P. 2. Kent F. 29. Kerjota S. 74. Mato R. 5. McCart J. 16. Spittal B.	3. Aarons M. 11. Aasgaard T. 18. Antman O. 8. Barron C. 23. Gassama D. 31. Kelly L. (G) 28. Miovski B. 20. Naderi R. 25. Rommens T.
Coaches
McInnes D.	Rohl D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Sterling D. ⚽,
37', Shankland L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Chesnokov I. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Kingsley S. ⚽,
69', Skov Olsen A. ↓, Gassama D. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Shankland L. ⚽,
73', Diomande M. 🟨,
75', Sterling D. ↓, Rommens T. ↑,
75', Moore M. ↓, Aasgaard T. ↑,
75', Raskin N. ↓, Naderi R. ↑,
80', Fernandez E. 🟨,
82', Kyziridis A. ↓, McCart J. ↑,
82', Braga C. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
83', Diomande M. ↓, Miovski B. ↑,
90', Kingsley S. ↓, Kent F. ↑,
90+4', Shankland L. ↓, Altena J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Hearts: Ageu (Thigh Injury) Gordon C. (Shoulder Injury) Magnusson T. (Broken cheekbone) McEntee O. (Injury) Nieuwenhof C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Rangers: Naderi R. (Injury) Rommens T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hearts: Milne H. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Rangers: Sterling D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:47. (average 0.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:23. (average 0.8:2.3).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Rangers: 38.17% Hearts: 4.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rangers	8	6	1	1	11:5	6	19
3	Hearts	8	5	1	2	19:8	11	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
26.04.26	Hibernian - Hearts	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Hearts - Motherwell	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Livingston - Hearts	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Hearts - Dundee	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Kilmarnock - Hearts	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTWL
- Glasgow Rangers
Scottish Premier League
26.04.26	Glasgow Rangers - Motherwell	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Falkirk - Glasgow Rangers	3:6 ✺
04.04.26	Glasgow Rangers - Dundee United	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Glasgow Rangers - Aberdeen	4:1 ✺
15.03.26	St. Mirren - Glasgow Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
15.02.26	Glasgow Rangers - Hearts	4:2
21.12.25	Hearts - Glasgow Rangers	2:1
13.09.25	Glasgow Rangers - Hearts	0:2
16.02.25	Hearts - Glasgow Rangers	1:3
10.11.24	Glasgow Rangers - Hearts	1:0
03.08.24	Hearts - Glasgow Rangers	0:0
18.05.24	Hearts - Glasgow Rangers	3:3

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