Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 9

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Glesch-Paffendorf		Frechen

	1	X	2
	4.32	4.37	1.63
	4.3	4.25	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.28)	4.31 ↑ (4.02)	1.61 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glesch-Paffendorf
21.3%

Draw
21.3%

Frechen
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

22.4%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

22%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glesch-Paffendorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Glesch-Paffendorf's form might have worsened.

Frechen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frechen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glesch-Paffendorf than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Glesch-Paffendorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frechen than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frechen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga West).

Glesch-Paffendorf is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Frechen is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Frechen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Frechen is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Glesch-Paffendorf won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Glesch-Paffendorf won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
01.10.23	Bergisch Gladbach - Glesch-Paffendorf	5:0 ✺
24.09.23	Glesch-Paffendorf - Siegburger	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Vichttal - Glesch-Paffendorf	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Glesch-Paffendorf - Fortuna Köln II	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.23	Glesch-Paffendorf - Köln II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTLL
- SpVg Frechen 20
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
01.10.23	Frechen - Union Schafhausen	3:0 ✺
17.09.23	Bergisch Gladbach - Frechen	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Vichttal - Frechen	3:4 ✺
27.08.23	Frechen - Fortuna Köln II	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	Porz - Frechen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
21.05.23	Frechen - Glesch-Paffendorf	3:1
06.11.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - Frechen	2:2
18.04.22	Glesch-Paffendorf - Frechen	0:1
06.10.21	Frechen - Glesch-Paffendorf	2:1

Glesch-Paffendorf - Frechen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide