Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Gneist		Grorud 2

	1	X	2
	1.78	4	3.25
				Watch
	1.83	4.26	3.09
	1.95	4.33	2.88
	1.8	3.92	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.16)	4.13 ↑ (3.97)	3.17 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gneist
49.3%

Draw
22%

Grorud 2
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

22.4%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

21.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gneist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gneist's performance.

Grorud 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grorud 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gneist than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gneist that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grorud 2 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grorud 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Gneist is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Grorud 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grorud 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gneist will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gneist won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Gneist
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
08.10.23	Ullern 2 - Gneist	4:0 ✺
30.09.23	Gneist - Gjelleråsen	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Sandviken - Gneist	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Gneist - Lillestrøm 2	3:1 ✺
09.09.23	Stabæk 2 - Gneist	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLWL
- Grorud 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
08.10.23	Grorud 2 - Skjetten	3:1 ✺
02.10.23	Frigg Oslo - Grorud 2	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	Grorud 2 - Fana	0:2 ✺
17.09.23	Lysekloster - Grorud 2	5:0 ✺
09.09.23	Ullern 2 - Grorud 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
18.06.23	Grorud 2 - Gneist	3:0

Gneist - Grorud 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide