Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Godoy Cruz 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.15	2.62	Watch
	2.52	3.26	2.71
	1.42	3.61	10.14	Watch
	2.44	3.13	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.2)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	4.53 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Godoy Cruz 2
46.4%

Draw
31.1%

Independiente 2
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.9%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Godoy Cruz 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Godoy Cruz 2 than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Godoy Cruz 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, ⚽,
87', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Godoy Cruz 2 won 3.

Recent form of Godoy Cruz 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Independiente 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Godoy Cruz 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Godoy Cruz 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Godoy Cruz 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente 2 - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Godoy Cruz 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.09.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Godoy Cruz 2 - Instituto 2	1:3 ✺
07.09.25	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Platense 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:2 ✺
20.08.25	Godoy Cruz 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLTW
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
16.09.25	Ferro 2 - Independiente 2	3:2 ✺
11.09.25	Independiente 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:2 ✺
03.09.25	Racing Club 2 - Independiente 2	0:0 ✺
26.08.25	Instituto 2 - Independiente 2	3:0 ✺
21.08.25	Independiente 2 - Platense 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
23.04.25	Independiente 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	1:2
17.09.24	Independiente 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	1:0
11.04.24	Godoy Cruz 2 - Independiente 2	3:1
01.06.23	Independiente 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	3:0
20.08.22	Independiente 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	0:2
04.03.22	Godoy Cruz 2 - Independiente 2	0:2

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