Match Info

Serie D - Round 11

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Divino Garcia Rosa (Goiatuba)


	Goiatuba		Uberlândia

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.08	3.1	3.25
	2.12	3.1	3.4
				Watch
	2.1	3.13	3.31
	2.06	3.4	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.04)	3.21 ↓ (3.35)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiatuba
43.6%

Draw
28.3%

Uberlândia
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

27%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiatuba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Uberlândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiatuba than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (+1%)

Goiatuba - Uberlândia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Geovane ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Alex Henrique ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Uberlândia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Goiatuba is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Goiatuba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiatuba EC
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.25	Operário MS - Goiatuba	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Goiatuba	3:2 ✺
07.06.25	Goiatuba - Cianorte	3:1 ✺
31.05.25	Cianorte - Goiatuba	2:3 ✺
24.05.25	Goiatuba - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWWT
- Uberlândia EC
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.25	Uberlândia - Itabirito	4:0 ✺
14.06.25	Cianorte - Uberlândia	3:2 ✺
07.06.25	Uberlândia - Atlético Monte Azul	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Uberlândia	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Uberlândia - Cianorte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Uberlândia - Goiatuba	2:1

Goiatuba - Uberlândia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide