Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 10

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Croatian Sports Centre (Carrara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Gold Coast Knights		Brisbane Roar U23

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.25	4.95
	1.52	4.6	5.4
	1.52	4.24	5.64	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.56	4.67	4.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.46)	4.39 ↓ (5.24)	5.13 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gold Coast Knights
61%

Draw
21%

Brisbane Roar U23
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

17.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

16.9%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Brisbane Roar U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Knights than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gold Coast Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar U23 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane Roar U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League).

Gold Coast Knights is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brisbane Roar U23's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Gold Coast Knights has had a series of away games.

Recently, Brisbane Roar U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gold Coast Knights is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast Knights won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Gold Coast Knights won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gold Coast Knights
Australian NPL Queensland
17.04.26	Wynnum Wolves - Gold Coast Knights	0:4 ✺
10.04.26	Gold Coast Knights - Rochedale Rovers	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Olympic FC - Gold Coast Knights	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Eastern Suburbs - Gold Coast Knights	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Brisbane City - Gold Coast Knights	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTLWW
- Brisbane Roar U23
Australian NPL Queensland
25.04.26	Moreton City Excelsior - Brisbane Roar U23	6:0 ✺
19.04.26	Brisbane Roar U23 - Olympic FC	1:5 ✺
12.04.26	Brisbane Roar U23 - Peninsula Power	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Brisbane Roar U23 - Magic United	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Brisbane Roar U23 - Wynnum Wolves	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
19.07.25	Brisbane Roar U23 - Gold Coast Knights	1:1
09.07.25	Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane Roar U23	0:1
27.07.24	Brisbane Roar U23 - Gold Coast Knights	0:1

Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane Roar U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide