The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moreton City Excelsior 70.8%
Draw 16%
Brisbane Roar U23 13.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.2%
17.6%
13.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.1%
16.4%
12.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreton City Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
The chances for Brisbane Roar U23 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar U23 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Moreton City Excelsior - Brisbane Roar U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 4 - 0, ⚽,
61', 5 - 0, ⚽,
76', 6 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League).
Moreton City is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Brisbane Roar U23 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Brisbane Roar U23 has had a series of home games.
In this match, Moreton City is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Moreton City will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moreton City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
Including home match between the teams, Moreton City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.