Match Info

NPL Queensland U23 - Round 17

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Gold Coast Knights U23		Moreton City Excelsior U23

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.60	2.30
	2.20	3.70	2.60
	2.50	3.83	2.22
	2.49	3.98	2.30	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.19
	2.48	3.74	2.26
	2.2	3.75	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.23)	3.76 ↑ (3.68)	2.33 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gold Coast Knights U23
37.6%

Draw
23.9%

Moreton City Excelsior U23
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

24.4%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

23.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Knights U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Moreton City Excelsior U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Knights U23 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton City Excelsior U23 than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Gold Coast Knights U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs: ) and 5)

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

GC Knights U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, GC Knights U23 has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gold Coast Knights U23
Australian NPL Queensland U23
27.06.26	Rochedale Rovers U23 - Gold Coast Knights U23	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Magic United U23	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Queensland Lions U23	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Eastern Suburbs U23	1:4 ✺
07.06.26	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Olympic FC U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- Moreton City Excelsior U23
Australian NPL Queensland U23
01.07.26	Rochedale Rovers U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	2:5 ✺
27.06.26	Gold Coast United U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Wynnum Wolves U23	3:0 ✺
07.06.26	Eastern Suburbs U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Brisbane City U23	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWTW

Gold Coast Knights U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Gold Coast Knights U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23 Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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