Match Info

NPL Queensland U23 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Rochedale Rovers U23		Moreton City Excelsior U23

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.80	2.37
	1.98	3.80	2.88
	2.29	4.3	2.39
	2.36	4.05	2.4	Watch
	2.25	3.85	2.35
	2.33	4.34	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.98)	4.02 ↑ (3.8)	2.46 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochedale Rovers U23
40.5%

Draw
22.6%

Moreton City Excelsior U23
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

23.6%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

22.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochedale Rovers U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Moreton City Excelsior U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moreton City Excelsior U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochedale Rovers U23 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochedale Rovers U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton City Excelsior U23 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moreton City Excelsior U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rochedale Rovers U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Rochedale U23 is Qualified for NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs )

Moreton City U23 is Qualified for NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs )

Rochedale U23 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moreton City U23 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moreton City U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rochedale U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochedale U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochedale Rovers U23
Australian NPL Queensland U23
28.08.26	Rochedale Rovers U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Olympic FC U20 - Rochedale Rovers U23	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Magic United U23 - Rochedale Rovers U23	1:4 ✺
01.08.26	Rochedale Rovers U23 - Eastern Suburbs U23	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Rochedale Rovers U23 - Brisbane City U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW
- Moreton City Excelsior U23
Australian NPL Queensland U23
06.09.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Gold Coast Knights U23	3:1 AET ✺
28.08.26	Rochedale Rovers U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Queensland Lions U23	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Olympic FC U20 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Moreton City Excelsior U23 - Peninsula Power U23	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland U23
28.08.26	Rochedale Rovers U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	3:1
01.07.26	Rochedale Rovers U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	2:5

Rochedale Rovers U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23