Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 17

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Coplick Family Sports Park (Tallebudgera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Gold Coast United		Magic United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	4.00	3.40
	1.74	3.75	3.55
	1.79	4.32	3.56
	3.13	4.32	1.91	Watch
	1.76	4.15	3.50
	1.85	4.28	3.38	Watch
	1.73	4.10	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.66)	4.13 ↑ (3.85)	3.27 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gold Coast United
48.1%

Draw
22.9%

Magic United
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

23.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

22%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gold Coast United's form might have worsened.

Magic United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magic United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gold Coast United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magic United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magic United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gold Coast United - Magic United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League).

Gold Coast United is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Magic United is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Magic United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gold Coast United has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gold Coast United is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gold Coast United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gold Coast United
Australian NPL Queensland
28.06.26	Gold Coast United - Moreton City Excelsior	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Gold Coast United - Brisbane Roar U23	1:4 ✺
13.06.26	Gold Coast United - Brisbane City	0:1 ✺
07.06.26	Gold Coast United - Wynnum Wolves	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Gold Coast United - Peninsula Power	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Magic United
Australian NPL Queensland
27.06.26	Magic United - Brisbane City	3:5 ✺
19.06.26	Gold Coast Knights - Magic United	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Magic United - Brisbane Roar U23	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Rochedale Rovers - Magic United	4:0 ✺
31.05.26	Magic United - Queensland Lions	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
21.02.26	Magic United - Gold Coast United	3:1

Gold Coast United - Magic United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide