Match Info
NPL Queensland - Round 16Date: 28 June 2026, SundayLocation: Coplick Family Sports Park (Tallebudgera)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | FQTV |
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Gold Coast United |
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Moreton City Excelsior |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
6.25 |
5.25 |
1.35 |
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 |
5.80 |
4.60 |
1.36 |
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 |
6.29 |
6.05 |
1.34 |
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 |
6.28 |
5.82 |
1.35 |
Watch |
 |
6.20 |
5.95 |
1.31 |
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 |
6.79 |
5.40 |
1.30 |
Watch |
 |
6.40 |
5.00 |
1.35 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.29 ↑
(5.88) |
5.44 ↑
(4.63) |
1.34 ↓
(1.39) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gold Coast United
14.6% | Draw
16.9% | Moreton City Excelsior
68.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gold Coast United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Moreton City Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Gold Coast United - Moreton City Excelsior Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 71', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).Recent form of Gold Coast United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Moreton City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Gold Coast United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Gold Coast United has had a series of home games. In this match, Moreton City is the undeniable favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Queensland | | | 11.04.26 | Moreton City Excelsior - Gold Coast United | 2:1 | | 23.08.25 | Gold Coast United - Moreton City Excelsior | 0:2 | | 20.08.24 | Gold Coast United - Moreton City Excelsior | awarded | | 23.06.24 | Moreton City Excelsior - Gold Coast United | 3:0 |
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