Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 12

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Gondomar		Marco 09

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.93
	3.65	3.3	1.92
	3.83	3.11	1.93
	3.83	3.18	1.91
	3.65	3.3	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.06)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	1.92 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gondomar
24.7%

Draw
28.2%

Marco 09
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

28.5%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gondomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco 09's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-5%)

Gondomar - Marco 09 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Recent matches Gondomar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marco is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gondomar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Gondomar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.12.24	Camacha - Gondomar	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Gondomar - Régua	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Marítimo B - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Leça - Gondomar	3:2 ✺
03.11.24	Gondomar - Beira-Mar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLL
- AD Marco 09
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.12.24	Marco 09 - Marítimo B	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Cinfães - Marco 09	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Marco 09 - Coimbrões	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Marco 09 - Alpendorada	0:3 ✺
27.10.24	Camacha - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.01.24	Marco 09 - Gondomar	0:0
17.09.23	Gondomar - Marco 09	3:0

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