Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 8

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Marco 09		Alpendorada

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.8	7
	1.39	4	7.8
	1.44	3.77	7.14
				Watch
	1.39	3.94	7.9
	1.39	4	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)	3.9 ↑ (3.6)	7.53 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marco 09
64.7%

Draw
23.3%

Alpendorada
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

24.8%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Marco 09 - Alpendorada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Botelho J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Alpendorada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Alpendorada have a series of home games.

In this match Marco is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Marco 09
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.10.24	Camacha - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Machico - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Marco 09 - Régua	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Leça - Marco 09	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Marco 09 - Elvas	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWTL
- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.10.24	Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Alpendorada - Cinfães	1:2 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.10.24	Camacha - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Alpendorada - União Lamas	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Alpendorada - Sertanense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLTTW

Upcoming Matches