Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 12

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Kobuleti Football Center (Kobuleti)


	Gonio		Betlemi Keda

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.5	3.94
	1.8	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	3.77 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonio
50.1%

Draw
25.9%

Betlemi Keda
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

24.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Betlemi Keda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betlemi Keda than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Gonio - Betlemi Keda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Kasrelishvili J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Suladze A. 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, Abuselidze T. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 3 - 0, Apkhazava G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Betlemi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Betlemi has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gonio is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Gonio	22	11	5	6	32:22	10	38
15	Betlemi	22	3	4	15	13:54	-41	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gonio
Georgian Liga 3
14.05.26	Merani Tbilisi - Gonio	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Gonio - Didube	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Orbi - Gonio	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Tbilisi 2025 - Gonio	1:1 ✺
16.04.26	Gonio - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLTW
- FC Betlemi Keda
Georgian Liga 3
07.05.26	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Betlemi Keda	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Iberia 2010 - Betlemi Keda	0:3 ✺
16.04.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Betlemi Keda	2:2 ✺
09.04.26	Betlemi Keda - Gardabani	4:1 ✺
25.03.26	Merani Tbilisi - Betlemi Keda	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWTWL

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