Match Info

SLOVENIA: SLOVENIAN CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 November 2023, Wednesday


	Gorica		Domžale

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	4.4	1.41
	6.5	4.33	1.4	Watch
	6	4.3	1.43
	5.7	3.99	1.41
	5.5	4.4	1.35
	6.8	4.75	1.38
	5.6	4.4	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.98 ↑ (3.47)	4.37 ↑ (3.58)	1.41 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
15.1%

Draw
20.7%

Domžale
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

25.6%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

24.1%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gorica's form might have worsened.

Domžale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Domžale's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gorica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Domžale than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Domžale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Gorica - Domžale Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Domžale will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Domžale: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gorica won 1.

Gorica is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Domžale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Domžale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Domžale is indisputable favorite.

Last 37 head-to-head matches Gorica won 8 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 20 matches and goals 36-65.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorica won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Gorica
Slovenian 2 SNL
18.11.23	Gorica - Rudar Velenje	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Bilje - Gorica	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Gorica - Brinje-Grosuplje	1:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
02.11.23	Vipava - Gorica	1:2 penalties ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
29.10.23	Gorica - Tolmin	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTWL
- NK Domžale
Slovenian PrvaLiga
11.11.23	Koper - Domžale	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Domžale - Maribor	1:2 ✺
Slovenian Cup
31.10.23	Dob - Domžale	0:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
27.10.23	Celje - Domžale	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Domžale - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
28.04.23	Domžale - Gorica	1:1
26.02.23	Gorica - Domžale	0:2
28.10.22	Domžale - Gorica	5:1
22.08.22	Gorica - Domžale	0:0
09.05.21	Gorica - Domžale	2:1
28.02.21	Domžale - Gorica	1:0
Club Friendly
03.02.21	Domžale - Gorica	4:1

Gorica - Domžale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide