Match Info

2. SNL - Round 26

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Športni park Nova Gorica (Nova Gorica)


	Gorica		Rudar Velenje

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.78	Watch
	2.3	3.12	2.8
	2.44	3.13	2.95	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.75
	2.31	3.13	2.87
	2.55	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.54)	3.06 ↓ (3.13)	2.78 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
38%

Draw
29.5%

Rudar Velenje
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.9%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.1%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Rudar Velenje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudar Velenje than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gorica - Rudar Velenje Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gorica (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,
66', 🟥,
68', 2 - 2, ⚽,
86', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.

Gorica is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rudar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gorica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Rudar	9	5	0	4	19:16	3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Gorica
Slovenian 2 SNL
25.04.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Gorica	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Gorica - Triglav	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Gorica	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Gorica - Beltinci	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Bilje - Gorica	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL
- Rudar Velenje
Slovenian 2 SNL
25.04.26	Rudar Velenje - Dravinja	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Krka - Rudar Velenje	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Rudar Velenje - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rudar Velenje - Slovan Ljubljana	4:0 ✺
27.03.26	Triglav - Rudar Velenje	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
18.10.25	Rudar Velenje - Gorica	2:1
26.11.24	Rudar Velenje - Gorica	2:2
10.08.24	Gorica - Rudar Velenje	3:3
18.11.23	Gorica - Rudar Velenje	2:0
26.10.23	Rudar Velenje - Gorica	0:0
21.05.22	Rudar Velenje - Gorica	2:0
06.11.21	Gorica - Rudar Velenje	3:0

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