Match Info

2. SNL - Round 24

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Portoval (Novo Mesto)


	Krka		Rudar Velenje

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.1	2.12	Watch
	2.69	2.98	2.54
	2.69	3.06	2.69	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.2
	3.04	3.04	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.69)	3 ↓ (3.18)	2.36 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krka
31%

Draw
30.4%

Rudar Velenje
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.4%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Rudar Velenje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krka than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudar Velenje than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Krka - Rudar Velenje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krka won 1.

In recent matches, Krka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rudar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krka won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Krka won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Rudar	9	5	0	4	19:16	3	15
14	NK Krka	9	2	1	6	9:16	-7	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Krka
Slovenian 2 SNL
12.04.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Krka	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Krka - Triglav	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Krka	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Krka - Beltinci	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bilje - Krka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLTTT
- Rudar Velenje
Slovenian 2 SNL
11.04.26	Rudar Velenje - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rudar Velenje - Slovan Ljubljana	4:0 ✺
27.03.26	Triglav - Rudar Velenje	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Rudar Velenje - Brinje-Grosuplje	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Beltinci - Rudar Velenje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
05.10.25	Rudar Velenje - Krka	0:0
25.04.25	Rudar Velenje - Krka	0:0
13.10.24	Krka - Rudar Velenje	3:0
29.10.23	Krka - Rudar Velenje	4:5
23.04.23	Rudar Velenje - Krka	1:1
09.10.22	Krka - Rudar Velenje	1:1
14.11.21	Krka - Rudar Velenje	2:2

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