Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 5 April 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
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Gorilla |
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Musanze |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.32 |
2.68 |
3.3 |
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 |
2.25 |
2.71 |
3.35 |
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2.31 |
2.76 |
3.43 |
 Watch |
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2.3 |
2.5 |
3.25 |
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2.26 |
2.74 |
3.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.6) |
2.68 ↓
(2.9) |
3.35 ↑
(2.62) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gorilla
39.4% | Draw
33.7% | Musanze
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Musanze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Musanze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gorilla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Musanze than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Musanze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Gorilla - Musanze Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 4.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Gorilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).Including home matches between the teams, Gorilla won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Musanze | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Gorilla | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Musanze - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.39%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 28.12.25 | Musanze - Gorilla | 0:1 | | 16.02.25 | Gorilla - Musanze | 1:0 | | 21.12.24 | Musanze - Gorilla | 1:0 | | 21.04.24 | Gorilla - Musanze | 1:0 | | 02.12.23 | Musanze - Gorilla | 0:1 | | 12.03.23 | Musanze - Gorilla | 1:0 | | 12.10.22 | Gorilla - Musanze | 0:2 |
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