Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 6 May 2026, Wednesday
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 |
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Gorilla |
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Kigali |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.68 |
3 |
|
 |
2.36 |
2.79 |
3.03 |
|
 |
2.88 |
2.10 |
3.89 |
 Watch |
 |
2.4 |
2.63 |
3 |
|
 |
2.41 |
2.75 |
3.1 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.47) |
2.59 ↓
(2.88) |
3.2 ↑
(2.78) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gorilla
36.4% | Draw
35.2% | Kigali
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Gorilla have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+3.3%)Gorilla - Kigali Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 0.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Kigali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.1:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Gorilla won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Gorilla | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
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| 16 | Kigali FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Kigali - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 32.4%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Peace Cup | | | 11.03.26 | Gorilla - Kigali | 0:0 | | Rwanda Premier League | | | 03.10.25 | Kigali - Gorilla | 1:1 | | 23.02.25 | Gorilla - Kigali | 0:0 | | 15.09.24 | Kigali - Gorilla | 1:0 | | 02.02.24 | Kigali - Gorilla | 1:0 | | 18.09.23 | Gorilla - Kigali | 0:0 | | 11.02.23 | Gorilla - Kigali | 0:1 |
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