Match Info

Date: 4 July 2020, Saturday


	Gorodeja		Vitebsk

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3	2.05
	3.2	3.05	2.2	Watch
	3.55	2.95	2.13
	3.85	2.87	2.22
	3.4	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.64	3.22	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.64)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	2.14 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorodeja
26.4%

Draw
30.3%

Vitebsk
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

30.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

23.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorodeja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorodeja than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gorodeja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitebsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	32%	48%

Gorodeja - Vitebsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Gorodeja will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Vitebsk will win (votes: 12 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitebsk: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gorodeja
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
28.06.20	Gorodeja - Isloch Minsk	0:2 ✺
20.06.20	Dinamo Brest - Gorodeja	3:1 ✺
12.06.20	Gorodeja - Slutsk	3:0 ✺
05.06.20	Smolevichi - Gorodeja	4:1 ✺
29.05.20	Gorodeja - Neman Grodno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL
- FC Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
28.06.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
21.06.20	Vitebsk - Minsk	1:0 ✺
14.06.20	Rukh Brest - Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
07.06.20	Vitebsk - BATE Borisov	2:2 ✺
31.05.20	SKA-1938 - Vitebsk	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
21.03.20	Vitebsk - Gorodeja	1:0
11.08.19	Vitebsk - Gorodeja	0:2
05.04.19	Gorodeja - Vitebsk	1:1
24.11.18	Vitebsk - Gorodeja	1:0
01.07.18	Gorodeja - Vitebsk	1:1
10.09.17	Gorodeja - Vitebsk	3:2
05.05.17	Vitebsk - Gorodeja	0:0

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