Match Info

Date: 29 May 2020, Friday


	Gorodeja		Neman Grodno

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.25	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.3
	3.1	2.9	2.33	Watch
	3.4	2.85	2.3
	3.54	2.91	2.31
	3.3	2.9	2.25	Watch
	3.48	3.06	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3)	2.94 ↓ (3.11)	2.29 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorodeja
28%

Draw
31.5%

Neman Grodno
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.9%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

21.9%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorodeja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Neman Grodno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorodeja than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gorodeja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neman Grodno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.3%	33.9%	28.8%

Gorodeja - Neman Grodno Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Gorodeja will win (votes: 22 - 37.3%). Neman will win (votes: 17 - 28.8%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 33.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gorodeja: 25% – 49.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gorodeja
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.05.20	Slavia Mozyr - Gorodeja	1:1 ✺
15.05.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gorodeja	3:1 ✺
08.05.20	Gorodeja - Minsk	1:1 ✺
02.05.20	Rukh Brest - Gorodeja	1:1 ✺
25.04.20	Gorodeja - BATE Borisov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTTL
- FC Neman Grodno
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
21.05.20	Neman Grodno - Torpedo-BelAZ	3:1 ✺
09.05.20	Neman Grodno - Rukh Brest	2:4 ✺
03.05.20	BATE Borisov - Neman Grodno	3:1 ✺
24.04.20	Neman Grodno - SKA-1938	3:0 ✺
16.04.20	Dinamo Minsk - Neman Grodno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.03.20	Gorodeja - Neman Grodno	2:1
25.01.20	Neman Grodno - Gorodeja	0:0
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
02.11.19	Gorodeja - Neman Grodno	1:0
21.06.19	Neman Grodno - Gorodeja	1:3
24.09.18	Gorodeja - Neman Grodno	0:2
13.05.18	Neman Grodno - Gorodeja	1:0
Club Friendly
30.01.18	Neman Grodno - Gorodeja	3:1

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